Traffic Flow Forecasting Using a SpatioTemporal Bayesian Network Predictor
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Traffic Flow Forecasting Using a SpatioTemporal Bayesian Network Predictor
A novel predictor for traffic flow forecasting, namely spatiotemporal Bayesian network predictor, is proposed. Unlike existing methods, our approach incorporates all the spatial and temporal information available in a transportation network to carry our traffic flow forecasting of the current site. The Pearson correlation coefficient is adopted to rank the input variables (traffic flows) for prediction, and the bestfirst strategy is employed to select a subset as the cause nodes of a Bayesian network. Given the derived cause nodes and the corresponding effect node in the spatiotemporal Bayesian network, a Gaussian Mixture Model is applied to describe the statistical relationship between the input and output. Finally, traffic flow forecasting is performed under the criterion of Minimum Mean Square Error (M.M.S.E.). Experimental results with the urban vehicular flow data of Beijing demonstrate the effectiveness of our presented spatiotemporal Bayesian network predictor.
Traffic Flow Forecasting Using a SpatioTemporal Bayesian Network Predictor
by Shiliang Sun, Changshui Zhang, Yi Zhang
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1712.08883v1.pdf
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